I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Horizon League · Nutter Center · December 31, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -9.0 Away covered
O/U 142.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual WRST +5 155 Won
Massey WRST -8.9 (-3.9) — —
Massey Totals — 139.0 (+16.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -8.9 (-3.9) 144.3 (+10.7) 82% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -6.3 (-1.3) 141.7 (+13.3) 75% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -6.0 (-1.0) 142.8 (+12.2) 76% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -5.6 (-0.6) 141.9 (+13.1) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 WRST 76 – 69 MILW
Jan 1, 2026 WRST 76 – 70 MILW
Feb 15, 2025 MILW 88 – 80 WRST
Jan 23, 2025 MILW 95 – 79 WRST
Jan 21, 2024 WRST 95 – 81 MILW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST MILW
Overall 22-14 10-22
Conference 15-7 8-14
Home 12-3 6-10
Away 7-7 4-10
Neutral 3-4 0-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 75.5 64.5
Avg Pts Against 72.3 71.4
Massey -5.4 (#267) -9.9 (#326)
Bradley-Terry -1.26 (#279) -2.64 (#339)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.40 (#268) -3.03 (#325)
RPI 0.439 (#277) 0.379 (#338)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST MILW
FG% 44.6% 40.3%
3PT% 28.1% 31.5%
REB / G 31.9 35.6
OREB / G 7.6 8.4
AST / TO 0.87 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 46.5%
TOV% 19.2% 19.5%
ORB% 22.4% 23.6%
FT Rate 25.7% 19.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.7% 46.5%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 14.9%
DRB% 69.2% 67.8%
Opp FT Rate 19.2% 19.5%

Game Analysis

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