I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–16 on winners spread MAE 8.9 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Wake Forest -1.0 150.6 45% 76–64 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan State +10.8 141.0 84% 69–71 ✓
LSU @ Florida -5.9 136.0 26% 64–58 ✓
Temple @ Tulsa +0.6 134.5 54% 69–64 ✗
Memphis @ UCF +2.2 147.2 60% 64–74 ✓
East Carolina @ Cincinnati +10.0 142.4 83% 71–79 ✓
UT Martin @ Morehead State +9.5 140.2 84% 62–76 ✓
Hampton @ North Carolina A&T +7.5 133.6 78% 59–67 ✓
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb +10.6 134.5 83% 61–64 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Campbell +15.0 136.5 89% 52–67 ✓
Clemson @ Notre Dame +1.8 142.3 60% 56–72 ✓
Stony Brook @ Vermont +10.5 143.0 86% 65–98 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UAlbany -2.6 130.4 37% 47–57 ✗
UMBC @ NJIT +1.9 139.4 59% 76–56 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Rhode Island +5.3 138.9 71% 64–75 ✓
Duquesne @ Fordham +5.0 138.7 73% 71–72 ✓
Chattanooga @ Western Carolina -14.1 153.0 14% 59–70 ✗
Samford @ Wofford +7.3 143.1 79% 64–87 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Furman +8.5 145.1 80% 69–78 ✓
Elon @ UNC Wilmington +1.9 136.2 62% 66–73 ✓
Georgia @ Mississippi State +14.0 147.8 89% 72–88 ✓
Delaware State @ Norfolk State +17.1 136.7 90% 51–80 ✓
High Point @ South Carolina Upstate +1.1 141.9 53% 65–66 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State +5.1 151.9 73% 72–77 ✓
Tulane @ Wichita State +7.8 143.4 79% 68–67 ✗
South Florida @ SMU +12.2 133.8 88% 65–77 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Missouri State +7.5 133.6 77% 76–81 ✓
Illinois State @ Drake +12.3 152.9 85% 75–86 ✓
Evansville @ Bradley +9.9 133.8 86% 47–79 ✓
St. John's @ UConn +11.6 156.3 87% 78–86 ✓
NC State @ Louisville +6.9 146.6 76% 79–63 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Virginia -1.4 124.6 44% 52–54 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Boston College +2.4 134.1 61% 81–76 ✗
TCU @ Kansas State +0.9 132.8 56% 60–57 ✗
Missouri @ Arkansas +11.2 152.4 86% 43–87 ✓
Maryland @ Northwestern +5.5 143.9 72% 94–87 ✗
Santa Clara @ Pacific -10.2 141.0 18% 84–70 ✓
California @ Washington +0.4 135.2 52% 55–64 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +7.6 145.1 79% 79–76 ✗
Utah Valley @ Seattle U -2.1 142.2 43% 65–71 ✗
Boise State @ Nevada -3.4 139.2 37% 85–70 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Kennesaw State -0.1 150.8 44% 53–77 ✗
Seton Hall @ DePaul -3.5 148.0 33% 92–96 ✗
Stanford @ Washington State +7.0 140.9 75% 62–57 ✗
Boston University @ Army -1.6 142.6 45% 63–73 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ App State +1.0 131.5 56% 60–61 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.