Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–14 on winners spread MAE 7.8 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tarleton State @ Michigan +14.1 133.2 87% 54–65 ✓
Xavier @ Iowa State -3.8 131.0 32% 70–82 ✗
Nevada @ Washington +1.5 150.9 59% 81–62 ✗
Southern Miss @ UNC Wilmington +10.8 130.3 83% 80–66 ✗
Hampton @ South Florida +7.0 127.5 72% 52–58 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Massachusetts +3.6 146.2 64% 81–92 ✓
Colgate @ Harvard +1.7 147.9 51% 84–89 ✓
Boston University @ Florida State +9.9 135.7 81% 80–81 ✓
Princeton @ Monmouth +7.0 151.2 74% 64–76 ✓
Arizona State @ Baylor +9.0 142.5 80% 63–75 ✓
UL Monroe @ Louisiana Tech +8.2 148.1 79% 74–96 ✓
Delaware @ Oakland +3.3 140.9 62% 73–81 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Toledo +2.4 141.3 64% 70–79 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Kent State -0.4 139.7 51% 57–51 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Northern Arizona +2.1 140.9 57% 73–56 ✗
Houston Christian @ Oklahoma +24.3 139.4 91% 40–57 ✓
Sam Houston @ SMU +8.4 141.2 77% 66–75 ✓
California Baptist @ Texas +18.7 140.6 88% 44–68 ✓
Florida @ Ohio State -2.7 142.7 40% 71–68 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Saint Louis +4.5 147.3 69% 68–79 ✓
Texas Southern @ BYU +15.1 134.4 86% 64–81 ✓
Florida A&M @ UTEP +11.3 132.9 86% 53–67 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Pittsburgh +0.1 131.1 44% 68–52 ✗
Jacksonville @ Minnesota +14.2 134.2 87% 44–55 ✓
Memphis @ Virginia Tech +2.8 141.3 63% 69–61 ✗
UC San Diego @ Montana -6.4 139.0 23% 61–71 ✗
George Mason @ South Dakota State +2.0 150.9 63% 76–80 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ UC Santa Barbara +20.8 145.0 90% 58–86 ✓
TCU @ Pepperdine -6.9 136.2 23% 73–64 ✓
Texas A&M @ Notre Dame -3.7 130.9 32% 73–67 ✓
Fresno State @ Santa Clara +8.0 149.3 79% 59–52 ✗
UConn @ Michigan State -2.1 149.4 40% 60–64 ✗
Dayton @ Miami +6.9 141.5 78% 76–60 ✗
South Alabama @ San Diego -0.3 132.6 50% 68–67 ✓
Presbyterian @ LSU New Orleans +3.1 137.0 59% 68–66 ✗
North Texas @ Kansas +6.9 137.6 77% 59–71 ✓
Auburn @ Loyola Chicago +3.4 154.7 64% 62–53 ✗
UIC @ Hawai'i -1.9 141.6 43% 80–88 ✗
VMI @ Central Arkansas -11.1 141.9 17% 73–67 ✓
Baylor @ VCU -8.6 124.8 23% 69–61 ✓
Alabama @ Iona -5.7 153.4 25% 68–72 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.