Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -130 DEL +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -3.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -1.4 (+6.6) | 139.0 (+15.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -3.3 (+4.7) | 140.9 (+13.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -2.3 (+5.7) | 141.8 (+12.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -2.0 (+6.0) | 141.8 (+12.2) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#82) | 1.7 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#14) | 1.62 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#27) | 2.08 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.756 (#5) | 0.614 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 23.0% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 43.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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