Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | KENT -135 ETSU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +6 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | ETSU -1.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-35.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -1.4 (-4.6) | 133.1 (-25.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -0.4 (-5.6) | 139.7 (-31.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -0.6 (-5.4) | 141.1 (-33.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -1.1 (-4.9) | 135.8 (-27.8) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#141) | 3.1 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#42) | 1.14 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#63) | 1.85 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.696 (#10) | 0.593 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 41.3% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 11.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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