Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -10.2 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -5.7 (+9.7) | 153.4 (-13.4) | 25% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -8.4 (+12.4) | 156.5 (-16.5) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -5.2 (+9.2) | 154.9 (-14.9) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -5.0 (+9.0) | 151.9 (-11.9) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 20, 2021 | ALA 68 – 55 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-0 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#119) | 13.2 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#54) | 2.77 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#82) | 4.04 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#99) | 0.736 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 47.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 38.3% |
| FT Rate | 35.2% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.5% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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