Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | ALA -2000 IONA +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +13 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -16.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -12.4 (+0.6) | 143.6 (-20.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -10.2 (+2.8) | 143.6 (-20.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -12.1 (+0.9) | 145.1 (-22.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -13.0 (+0.0) | 143.5 (-20.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2021 | IONA 72 – 68 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-7 | 12-6 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 6-3 |
| Home | 12-1 | 4-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 17.8 (#7) | 1.7 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#9) | 0.49 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.70 (#9) | 0.37 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#4) | 0.553 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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