You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
(2) Alabama Crimson Tide
68 55
FINAL Neutral NCAA Tournament
(15) Iona Gaels
Hinkle Fieldhouse (Neutral) · March 20, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ALA -16.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money ALA -2000 / IONA +1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total ALA win
Actual ALA +13 123 Won
Massey ALA -16.1 (-3.1)
Massey Totals 143.4 (-20.4)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 97%
Baseline Plus ML ALA -14.8 (-1.8) 143.9 (-20.9) 89%
Model 4 ML ALA -13.2 (-0.2) 144.4 (-21.4) 88%
Model 3 ML ALA -15.9 (-2.9) 144.2 (-21.2) 89%
Baseline ML ALA -16.3 (-3.3) 143.7 (-20.7) 89%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 25, 2021 IONA 7268 ALA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ALA IONA
Overall 26-7 12-6
Conference 16-2 6-3
Home 12-1 4-2
Away 7-3 4-3
Neutral 7-3 4-1
Last 5 5-0 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 79.7 71.3
Avg Pts Against 70.1 66.1
Massey 17.8 (#7) 1.7 (#136)
Bradley-Terry 2.97 (#9) 0.49 (#122)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.70 (#9) 0.37 (#148)
RPI 0.628 (#4) 0.553 (#64)
Shooting & Four Factors ALA IONA
FG% 43.1% 44.5%
3PT% 35.1% 35.5%
REB / G 40.5 37.6
OREB / G 12.4 11.2
AST / TO 1.01 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 51.2%
TOV% 18.7% 22.4%
ORB% 31.5% 33.5%
FT Rate 20.6% 26.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.3% 45.6%
Opp TOV% 21.0% 19.7%
DRB% 70.2% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 32.0%

Game Analysis

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