Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +14 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -16.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -11.2 (+2.8) | 129.4 (-9.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -12.2 (+1.8) | 127.4 (-7.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -11.3 (+2.7) | 132.9 (-12.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -12.0 (+2.0) | 132.8 (-12.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#151) | -8.2 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#188) | -1.32 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#171) | -2.14 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#224) | 0.352 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 24.2% | 24.1% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.7% | 40.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 14.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.1% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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