Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–15 on winners spread MAE 8.6 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UC San Diego @ Southern Miss -11.4 139.7 15% 55–56 ✗
UAB @ New Mexico -7.9 158.0 22% 86–73 ✓
Richmond @ Maryland -5.1 142.9 28% 80–86 ✗
Arizona State @ Syracuse -1.3 143.9 43% 84–92 ✗
Belmont @ Drake +4.7 152.3 68% 74–69 ✗
USC @ Saint Joseph's -12.5 149.7 14% 70–55 ✓
San Francisco @ Towson -0.8 140.7 40% 71–61 ✓
Mississippi State @ Louisville -6.9 136.5 24% 58–72 ✗
Georgetown @ San Diego State +2.1 136.4 61% 56–73 ✓
Baylor @ Michigan State -0.4 135.1 48% 75–58 ✓
Miami @ North Texas +2.1 130.6 60% 69–63 ✗
McNeese @ St. Francis Brooklyn +1.9 140.0 59% 71–59 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Georgia Tech +6.1 138.8 74% 59–61 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Incarnate Word +4.2 152.8 64% 79–76 ✗
Dayton @ Kansas +12.3 144.7 85% 74–73 ✗
VCU @ UConn +10.0 131.3 80% 63–70 ✓
Omaha @ Purdue +25.2 144.9 91% 40–97 ✓
Bryant @ Brown +7.2 144.6 72% 65–59 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Clemson +18.0 148.8 90% 59–91 ✓
Columbia @ Boston College +12.8 144.1 86% 60–73 ✓
VMI @ LSU New Orleans +3.2 144.9 58% 71–79 ✓
Samford @ North Carolina A&T -0.7 138.9 46% 77–75 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee +17.3 146.9 88% 69–80 ✓
Austin Peay @ Howard +5.5 152.4 70% 69–67 ✗
Portland @ Montana State -1.0 145.5 46% 66–69 ✗
UIC @ San Diego +4.1 139.0 68% 52–64 ✓
Longwood @ Old Dominion -3.0 127.0 38% 61–62 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Ole Miss +22.9 152.6 91% 58–73 ✓
Presbyterian @ Central Arkansas -9.8 134.1 19% 75–66 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Oral Roberts -8.3 144.8 19% 78–77 ✓
Alabama @ Drake +1.2 150.7 53% 80–71 ✗
Syracuse @ Auburn +7.1 153.8 78% 68–89 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Purdue Fort Wayne -0.0 131.5 49% 66–74 ✗
Florida A&M @ UC Riverside +13.4 129.6 85% 49–60 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ DePaul +14.9 152.8 87% 68–77 ✓
Hawai'i @ South Alabama +2.9 141.5 64% 69–72 ✓
Iona @ Belmont +0.6 149.1 50% 65–72 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.