Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | TOW +550 SF -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +10 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | SF -0.7 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -2.5 (-7.5) | 139.0 (-7.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -0.8 (-9.2) | 140.7 (-8.7) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -1.2 (-8.8) | 141.1 (-9.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -0.4 (-9.6) | 140.4 (-8.4) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2020 | SF 79 – 68 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 11-5 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.4 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#115) | 4.4 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#226) | 2.03 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#230) | 2.76 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#257) | 0.614 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 59.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 81.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.9% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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