Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | SF -360 TOW +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SF -9.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -5.9 (+5.1) | 140.7 (+6.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -5.3 (+5.7) | 138.4 (+8.6) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2021 | SF 71 – 61 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 4-14 |
| Conference | 4-9 | 3-9 |
| Home | 3-5 | 4-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 0-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#54) | -11.7 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#76) | -1.06 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#69) | -1.64 (#78) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 19.2% | 43.8% |
| REB / G | 27.0 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.8% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.3% | 67.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.0% | 9.5% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 64.3% | 6.3% |
Game Analysis
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