Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +9 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | PRES -13.8 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -11.0 (+2.0) | 136.8 (+4.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -9.8 (+0.8) | 134.1 (+6.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -9.8 (+0.8) | 135.1 (+5.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -10.7 (+1.7) | 137.9 (+3.1) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Game Analysis
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