Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | BC -17.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -12.1 (+0.9) | 134.1 (-1.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -12.8 (+0.2) | 144.1 (-11.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -13.5 (-0.5) | 143.8 (-10.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -13.5 (-0.5) | 140.5 (-7.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 4-22 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 1-13 |
| Home | 9-7 | 3-10 |
| Away | 2-10 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#100) | -5.9 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#182) | -2.11 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#154) | -3.39 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#121) | 0.300 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 81.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.