Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +1 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | OKST -12.1 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -10.1 (+9.1) | 151.6 (+3.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -8.3 (+7.3) | 144.8 (+10.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -9.3 (+8.3) | 145.5 (+9.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -8.7 (+7.7) | 152.2 (+2.8) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2025 | OKST 95 – 71 ORU |
| Dec 22, 2024 | OKST 86 – 74 ORU |
| Dec 17, 2023 | OKST 81 – 60 ORU |
| Dec 9, 2020 | OKST 83 – 78 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#317) | 10.4 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#319) | 1.49 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.31 (#326) | 2.60 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.336 (#344) | 0.583 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 10.1% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 39.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 29.9% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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