Incarnate Word
Cardinals
76
–
79
FINAL
Incarnate Word Thanksgiving Invitational
Southeast Missouri State
Redhawks
Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +3 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -6.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -3.0 (-6.0) | 149.3 (+5.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -4.2 (-7.2) | 152.8 (+2.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -3.8 (-6.8) | 150.8 (+4.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -1.6 (-4.6) | 149.9 (+5.1) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 8-9 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#308) | -7.8 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#324) | -1.32 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.15 (#319) | -2.38 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#190) | 0.358 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 23.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.53 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 31.7% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 38.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.1% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 58.2% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.4% | 35.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.