Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +1 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -4.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -3.0 (+4.0) | 127.0 (-4.0) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -3.5 (+4.5) | 126.8 (-3.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -4.6 (+5.6) | 128.9 (-5.9) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -3.3 (+4.3) | 127.1 (-4.1) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Game Analysis
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