Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -22.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -2800 TAR +1450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +11 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -17.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -14.8 (-3.8) | 130.0 (-11.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -15.6 (-4.6) | 132.2 (-13.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -14.1 (-3.1) | 133.2 (-14.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -17.4 (-6.4) | 128.3 (-9.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2024 | MICH 72 – 49 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#51) | -2.3 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#146) | -1.05 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#125) | -1.11 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#60) | 0.449 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 23.9% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 28.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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