Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +23 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -40.3 (-17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -37.3 (-14.3) | 145.0 (-24.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -39.1 (-16.1) | 144.1 (-23.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -26.1 (-3.1) | 142.8 (-21.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -23.5 (-0.5) | 139.7 (-18.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2021 | MICH 65 – 54 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 60.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#29) | -21.5 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#132) | -1.90 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#129) | -2.83 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#41) | 0.432 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.9% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 41.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 25.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.4% | 42.9% |
| TOV% | 24.7% | 32.1% |
| ORB% | 40.2% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 59.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 54.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 36.2% |
Game Analysis
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