Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | KU -13.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -6.2 (+5.8) | 132.8 (-2.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -6.9 (+5.1) | 137.6 (-7.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -7.7 (+4.3) | 136.6 (-6.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -8.0 (+4.0) | 135.4 (-5.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 9-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-1 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#12) | 2.3 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#18) | -2.30 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.59 (#14) | -3.00 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#44) | 0.318 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.1% | 35.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.90 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 28.0% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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