Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMU +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SMU -11.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -8.6 (+0.4) | 142.7 (-1.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -8.4 (+0.6) | 141.2 (-0.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -8.2 (+0.8) | 141.9 (-0.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -8.3 (+0.7) | 143.2 (-2.2) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2020 | SMU 97 – 67 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 17-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 65.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 64.3 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#180) | -4.9 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#293) | -1.32 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#281) | -1.39 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.328 (#339) | 0.431 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 9.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 35.6% |
Game Analysis
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