Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -245 UCSD +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -10.3 (+20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -3.4 (+13.4) | 134.2 (-2.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -6.4 (+16.4) | 139.0 (-7.0) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -7.1 (+17.1) | 139.4 (-7.4) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -3.7 (+13.7) | 137.0 (-5.0) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 0-0 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#289) | 11.2 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#302) | 3.63 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.15 (#322) | 5.68 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.358 (#326) | 0.637 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 19.0% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 43.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 40.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 79.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.