I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–13 on winners spread MAE 7.6 45 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Auburn @ Vanderbilt -8.6 161.1 20% 80–68 ✓
Florida @ Mississippi State -2.7 148.0 43% 81–68 ✓
Tennessee @ Kentucky +1.0 142.7 59% 64–75 ✓
Purdue @ Michigan +2.9 150.5 69% 73–75 ✓
Iowa State @ UCF -6.1 154.1 24% 77–65 ✓
Utah @ Cincinnati +5.6 137.7 70% 75–85 ✓
BYU @ West Virginia +2.9 137.9 71% 73–69 ✗
UAB @ East Carolina -0.1 156.3 48% 75–82 ✗
Syracuse @ Miami -0.6 156.4 48% 84–91 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Richmond -3.6 134.8 32% 87–80 ✓
Western Michigan @ Akron +17.3 152.5 90% 92–105 ✓
Toledo @ Miami (OH) +4.0 159.1 73% 80–92 ✓
Ohio @ Bowling Green -4.4 151.7 33% 86–81 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State +3.7 148.5 63% 84–86 ✓
Central Michigan @ Kent State +6.2 134.0 73% 83–91 ✓
Buffalo @ Northern Illinois +0.2 149.2 46% 73–67 ✗
Arizona @ Kansas State -3.6 149.2 43% 70–73 ✗
George Mason @ Saint Louis -2.3 131.5 38% 76–74 ✓
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa +10.1 151.2 82% 73–88 ✓
UIC @ Murray State +0.3 147.4 54% 53–63 ✓
UCLA @ Illinois +5.9 147.3 76% 78–83 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Little Rock +3.2 134.8 59% 57–45 ✗
DePaul @ Marquette +14.2 144.0 88% 58–68 ✓
Alabama @ Texas -2.0 164.6 39% 103–80 ✓
Georgia @ Texas A&M +6.5 136.5 74% 53–69 ✓
Indiana @ Michigan State +10.4 144.9 80% 71–67 ✗
Colorado @ Kansas +12.8 141.5 88% 59–71 ✓
UConn @ Creighton +4.6 141.4 73% 70–66 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Pepperdine -1.6 140.5 44% 69–60 ✓
North Texas @ Rice -5.3 128.4 23% 67–61 ✓
Pittsburgh @ SMU +4.0 151.0 72% 63–83 ✓
Penn State @ USC +3.0 149.1 67% 67–92 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +12.3 134.3 86% 52–77 ✓
Colorado State @ Utah State +7.5 145.8 80% 85–93 ✓
San Diego State @ San José State -6.2 136.4 27% 69–66 ✓
Northwestern @ Oregon +6.1 143.1 75% 75–81 ✓
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's +6.9 135.3 79% 64–73 ✓
St. John's @ Villanova -2.1 136.1 46% 71–73 ✗
Colgate @ Holy Cross +1.2 139.7 58% 87–65 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina -11.3 138.1 15% 67–76 ✗
Radford @ Winthrop +2.2 153.5 58% 74–78 ✓
Iowa @ Rutgers +2.5 156.2 59% 84–73 ✗
Oakland @ IU Indianapolis -4.5 143.0 33% 82–67 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State -0.7 155.6 45% 71–93 ✗
Canisius @ Niagara +8.7 139.0 81% 60–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.