You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–7 on winners spread MAE 9.3 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Georgetown @ Marquette +16.2 146.7 87% 51–81 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Baylor +38.7 142.7 91% 48–107 ✓
Stetson @ Cincinnati +20.3 148.8 90% 75–83 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Southern Illinois +20.3 134.4 90% 50–81 ✓
Canisius @ High Point +5.5 149.8 76% 70–78 ✓
Winthrop @ Florida State +5.8 146.2 74% 61–67 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ VCU +24.2 141.3 91% 51–75 ✓
Binghamton @ St. Bonaventure +15.5 144.7 87% 64–90 ✓
Temple @ Old Dominion -3.3 152.0 36% 63–78 ✗
Yale @ Kansas +14.5 143.3 85% 60–75 ✓
Chicago State @ Wisconsin +22.1 136.0 90% 53–80 ✓
New Mexico State @ Tulsa +11.5 145.5 86% 59–65 ✓
Fresno State @ San Francisco +17.1 133.7 87% 57–77 ✓
Louisiana @ Rice +3.6 141.6 61% 84–67 ✗
Ohio @ Austin Peay +1.9 137.3 60% 67–71 ✓
Alabama State @ Auburn +24.8 148.9 91% 62–82 ✓
Marist @ Notre Dame -1.0 124.6 45% 56–60 ✗
Houston Christian @ Texas A&M +31.1 147.7 91% 52–79 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Southern Utah +8.3 136.6 77% 63–69 ✓
Missouri @ Illinois +7.2 145.6 77% 73–97 ✓
Bellarmine @ BYU +33.1 140.5 91% 59–101 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Utah State +15.8 140.5 87% 65–80 ✓
Maryland @ UCLA +1.2 132.9 49% 69–60 ✗
Colorado State @ Loyola Marymount -4.8 145.1 29% 76–67 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Hawai'i +5.6 141.2 72% 73–68 ✗
Massachusetts @ Portland -8.2 150.7 22% 100–78 ✓
Butler @ Providence +4.4 144.6 70% 75–85 ✓
Rutgers @ Mississippi State +2.5 131.8 62% 60–70 ✓
Long Island University @ Mount St. Mary's +14.4 143.8 88% 59–87 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Rider -0.1 149.0 50% 77–73 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ NC State +24.5 141.8 91% 66–83 ✓
Toledo @ West Virginia +2.1 147.5 62% 81–91 ✓
Southern Miss @ Ole Miss +8.3 141.3 79% 72–89 ✓
UT Arlington @ North Texas +7.2 135.7 75% 52–78 ✓
Seton Hall @ Xavier +4.7 144.1 69% 54–74 ✓
Kennesaw State @ UNC Asheville +2.2 157.4 65% 70–79 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Arizona +6.5 156.7 74% 96–95 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Memphis +20.5 145.4 90% 75–77 ✓
Villanova @ DePaul -9.8 136.3 23% 84–48 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Alabama +29.3 159.7 90% 67–111 ✓
Duquesne @ Santa Clara -3.5 147.3 35% 73–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.