In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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4–1 on winners spread MAE 9.6 5 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
St. John's @ UConn +8.9 147.3 81% 65–69 ✓
Missouri State @ Saint Mary's +11.2 131.6 81% 69–64 ✗
Temple @ Portland -2.2 148.9 39% 55–54 ✓
Old Dominion @ Massachusetts +8.2 154.9 77% 65–87 ✓
TCU @ Hawai'i -2.0 150.1 46% 65–51 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.