Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Under |
| Money | PORT +148 TEM -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +1 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -4.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.1 (-49.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -3.7 (+2.7) | 150.2 (-41.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -2.3 (+1.3) | 148.6 (-39.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -2.2 (+1.2) | 148.9 (-39.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -2.1 (+1.1) | 151.2 (-42.2) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 2-11 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#277) | -1.7 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#236) | 0.21 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#230) | -0.17 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#193) | 0.518 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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