Massachusetts
Minutemen
87
–
65
FINAL
Neutral
Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic
Old Dominion
Monarchs
Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | MASS -335 ODU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +22 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -10.7 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -8.2 (+13.8) | 153.5 (-1.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -8.3 (+13.7) | 154.0 (-2.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -8.2 (+13.8) | 154.9 (-2.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -8.6 (+13.4) | 156.7 (-4.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-3 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#72) | -3.4 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#128) | -0.14 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#123) | -0.37 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#79) | 0.493 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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