I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–14 on winners spread MAE 9.2 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State +8.5 150.7 85% 81–90 ✓
Old Dominion @ Florida International +4.6 136.3 68% 82–77 ✗
Michigan @ UCF +4.1 137.6 68% 71–85 ✓
Brown @ Maryland +6.9 137.2 74% 67–81 ✓
Robert Morris @ Oakland +19.1 150.7 89% 61–79 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wright State +6.0 142.8 76% 75–80 ✓
Green Bay @ Northern Kentucky +4.5 133.9 70% 74–79 ✓
UL Monroe @ Coastal Carolina +3.5 149.2 65% 64–94 ✓
Fordham @ La Salle -2.1 142.2 44% 69–61 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Richmond +8.7 143.2 79% 83–56 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga +11.3 145.1 85% 52–82 ✓
UTEP @ UAB +14.8 140.7 88% 62–75 ✓
Lamar @ Sam Houston +5.1 136.5 73% 64–75 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Little Rock -7.7 141.4 24% 66–78 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Lipscomb +7.6 137.3 74% 63–66 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Murray State +21.0 153.5 91% 81–106 ✓
Chicago State @ Grand Canyon +17.9 133.0 90% 63–80 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Utah Valley +4.1 140.1 62% 80–76 ✗
Troy @ Texas State +9.4 138.7 83% 78–63 ✗
South Alabama @ UT Arlington -6.4 135.0 31% 87–89 ✗
Denver @ Oral Roberts +7.5 147.0 77% 66–83 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota State -3.6 152.7 40% 90–86 ✓
UT Martin @ Austin Peay +3.9 142.5 64% 65–62 ✗
Utah @ Oregon State -5.9 142.7 33% 76–88 ✗
Marshall @ Louisiana Tech +12.8 156.1 85% 56–79 ✓
Sacramento State @ Southern Utah +11.7 142.1 87% 51–64 ✓
Weber State @ Montana State +5.0 142.4 75% 85–75 ✗
Idaho State @ Montana +11.3 130.6 86% 54–78 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech -3.8 138.4 33% 83–69 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego +2.7 137.5 66% 83–85 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Portland State -3.6 140.6 34% 63–58 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield -1.1 129.5 37% 73–67 ✓
High Point @ Kentucky +23.9 143.1 91% 48–92 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Bryant +2.6 150.7 61% 82–85 ✓
Long Island University @ Merrimack +1.1 132.0 58% 77–82 ✓
Northeastern @ William & Mary -7.3 132.7 33% 70–71 ✗
Delaware @ Charleston +4.0 153.8 61% 67–66 ✗
Niagara @ Quinnipiac -1.8 139.0 51% 68–77 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Saint Francis +9.3 145.1 78% 70–62 ✗
Central Connecticut @ St. Francis Brooklyn +3.6 134.4 63% 67–55 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.