We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–11 on winners spread MAE 8.6 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
West Virginia @ Texas +6.7 124.7 75% 59–74 ✓
Memphis @ Wichita State +3.2 144.5 61% 82–64 ✗
Creighton @ Marquette +0.6 142.7 48% 75–69 ✗
Bucknell @ Boston University +11.3 147.1 88% 61–63 ✓
Furman @ VMI +0.6 152.7 55% 67–76 ✓
Baylor @ Iowa State -3.6 130.9 23% 77–72 ✓
Villanova @ Seton Hall +2.7 136.3 63% 73–67 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Army +0.1 141.9 58% 74–77 ✓
Navy @ Holy Cross -14.4 132.2 13% 70–56 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech +9.7 148.5 80% 73–74 ✓
Milwaukee @ Northern Kentucky +4.8 138.8 67% 61–55 ✗
Green Bay @ Wright State +5.0 142.5 69% 69–72 ✓
Louisiana @ Coastal Carolina +5.0 140.6 72% 65–64 ✗
Buffalo @ Akron +0.7 146.3 53% 76–88 ✓
Toledo @ Kent State -4.0 139.8 36% 63–66 ✗
Providence @ DePaul +2.4 139.2 69% 70–53 ✗
UTSA @ UAB +26.4 145.0 91% 59–87 ✓
Idaho State @ Montana State +15.7 129.6 90% 40–60 ✓
Youngstown State @ Oakland +11.1 143.0 83% 72–87 ✓
Troy @ UT Arlington +0.5 135.9 52% 57–62 ✓
Western Illinois @ St. Thomas -0.3 155.3 54% 66–89 ✗
Ohio @ Western Michigan -13.2 142.2 14% 59–47 ✓
Lehigh @ American University +3.5 140.3 51% 63–61 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona -4.1 143.8 35% 78–65 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Valley +6.4 128.8 74% 55–77 ✓
Florida State @ NC State -3.8 148.5 35% 83–81 ✓
UL Monroe @ App State +2.8 143.4 65% 69–77 ✓
San Diego State @ UNLV -0.6 134.3 43% 62–55 ✓
George Mason @ Kansas +17.8 149.7 88% 67–76 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Rutgers +12.7 137.3 86% 48–79 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State +1.9 139.5 59% 56–74 ✓
Austin Peay @ Southeast Missouri State +0.4 150.8 50% 79–98 ✓
Rice @ North Texas +10.4 136.6 76% 43–75 ✓
Chicago State @ New Mexico State +15.5 141.5 90% 61–78 ✓
Wake Forest @ Miami +0.0 152.4 53% 84–92 ✓
Virginia @ Syracuse +4.4 136.1 60% 74–69 ✗
Bowling Green @ Ball State -1.0 158.3 51% 80–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.