Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -3.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -1.6 (-7.6) | 146.7 (-2.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -0.7 (-6.7) | 145.2 (-1.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -0.6 (-6.6) | 142.7 (+1.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -0.3 (-6.3) | 143.2 (+0.8) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MARQ 86 – 62 CREI |
| Dec 21, 2025 | CREI 84 – 63 MARQ |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CREI 77 – 67 MARQ |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MARQ 79 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CREI 89 – 75 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 12-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#92) | 7.0 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#51) | 1.99 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#61) | 3.97 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#34) | 0.581 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 14.1% |
Game Analysis
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