Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +18 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -1.7 (-19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -2.9 (-20.9) | 144.1 (+1.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -3.5 (-21.5) | 143.5 (+2.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -3.2 (-21.2) | 144.5 (+1.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -3.8 (-21.8) | 144.4 (+1.6) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WICH 88 – 82 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WICH 74 – 59 MEM |
| Mar 14, 2025 | MEM 83 – 80 WICH |
| Feb 16, 2025 | WICH 84 – 79 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2025 | MEM 61 – 53 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 6-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#71) | 9.9 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#74) | 0.64 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#81) | 1.94 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#72) | 0.532 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 39.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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