Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +1 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | LT -9.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -8.2 (-7.2) | 147.8 (-0.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -9.1 (-8.1) | 148.5 (-1.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -9.7 (-8.7) | 148.5 (-1.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -9.9 (-8.9) | 149.0 (-2.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | WKU 66 – 61 LT |
| Feb 23, 2025 | WKU 64 – 63 LT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LT 77 – 67 WKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LT 90 – 84 WKU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WKU 81 – 76 LT |
Game Analysis
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