Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +6 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | HALL -2.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -1.5 (-7.5) | 135.3 (+4.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -3.2 (-9.2) | 135.8 (+4.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -2.7 (-8.7) | 136.3 (+3.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -1.6 (-7.6) | 136.1 (+3.9) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | VILL 72 – 60 HALL |
| Dec 24, 2025 | VILL 64 – 56 HALL |
| Mar 13, 2025 | VILL 67 – 55 HALL |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VILL 59 – 54 HALL |
| Dec 18, 2024 | VILL 79 – 67 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 30-8 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 16-4 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 10-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 62.7 |
| Massey | 13.6 (#25) | 15.8 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#22) | 2.45 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.82 (#24) | 3.79 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.638 (#16) | 0.636 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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