Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +3 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | TOL -4.3 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOL -3.6 (+6.6) | 138.6 (-9.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOL -4.6 (+7.6) | 139.5 (-10.5) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TOL -4.0 (+7.0) | 139.8 (-10.8) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOL -4.8 (+7.8) | 140.3 (-11.3) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | KENT 75 – 72 TOL |
| Jan 16, 2026 | KENT 87 – 84 TOL |
| Feb 26, 2025 | KENT 105 – 65 TOL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | KENT 83 – 64 TOL |
| Mar 14, 2024 | KENT 67 – 59 TOL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 17-3 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#220) | 6.1 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#260) | 1.67 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#237) | 1.97 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#236) | 0.598 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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