I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Horizon League · Nutter Center · January 1, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -10.0 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual WRST +3 141 Won
Massey WRST -7.5 (-4.5) — —
Massey Totals — 142.1 (-1.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -7.8 (-4.8) 140.5 (+0.5) 73% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -5.3 (-2.3) 141.8 (-0.8) 72% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -5.0 (-2.0) 142.5 (-1.5) 69% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -5.2 (-2.2) 140.8 (+0.2) 67% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 WRST 83 – 75 GB
Dec 7, 2025 WRST 86 – 58 GB
Feb 16, 2025 GB 79 – 68 WRST
Jan 3, 2025 WRST 74 – 51 GB
Jan 19, 2024 GB 88 – 81 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST GB
Overall 22-14 5-25
Conference 15-7 4-16
Home 12-3 4-9
Away 7-7 1-13
Neutral 3-4 0-3
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.5 61.2
Avg Pts Against 72.3 69.7
Massey -5.8 (#270) -8.9 (#308)
Bradley-Terry -1.20 (#274) -2.85 (#343)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.36 (#268) -3.49 (#335)
RPI 0.437 (#280) 0.398 (#328)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST GB
FG% 44.7% 40.9%
3PT% 28.4% 25.0%
REB / G 32.2 30.6
OREB / G 7.9 8.9
AST / TO 0.89 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.4% 45.7%
TOV% 18.4% 18.3%
ORB% 23.0% 26.7%
FT Rate 25.5% 21.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 52.2%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 15.7%
DRB% 68.8% 70.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.1% 26.0%

Game Analysis

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