Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +28 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -26.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -20.7 (+7.3) | 147.3 (-1.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -23.0 (+5.0) | 146.3 (-0.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -26.4 (+1.6) | 145.0 (+1.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -26.3 (+1.7) | 146.8 (-0.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | UAB 83 – 73 UTSA |
| Jan 22, 2025 | UAB 81 – 78 UTSA |
| Jan 3, 2024 | UAB 78 – 76 UTSA |
| Feb 18, 2023 | UAB 83 – 78 UTSA |
| Dec 31, 2022 | UAB 90 – 67 UTSA |
Game Analysis
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