Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +2 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | BU -15.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -11.4 (-9.4) | 143.9 (-19.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -11.8 (-9.8) | 146.4 (-22.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -11.3 (-9.3) | 147.1 (-23.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -12.0 (-10.0) | 145.1 (-21.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BU 82 – 69 BUCK |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BUCK 103 – 97 BU |
| Feb 13, 2025 | BUCK 76 – 60 BU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BU 85 – 82 BUCK |
| Feb 10, 2024 | BU 77 – 62 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#141) | -10.2 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#166) | -2.12 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#158) | -2.67 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#178) | 0.380 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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