Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -3.2 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -5.6 (-7.4) | 143.2 (-0.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -3.3 (-9.7) | 143.4 (-0.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -4.1 (-8.9) | 143.8 (-0.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -3.7 (-9.3) | 143.4 (-0.4) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | EWU 88 – 57 NAU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NAU 92 – 86 EWU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | NAU 66 – 53 EWU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NAU 87 – 67 EWU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NAU 70 – 61 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-10 | 9-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#313) | -1.8 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#283) | 0.12 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#272) | -0.19 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#281) | 0.504 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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