Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +6 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -8.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -5.8 (-11.8) | 138.9 (-22.9) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -5.0 (-11.0) | 138.5 (-22.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -4.8 (-10.8) | 138.8 (-22.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -4.7 (-10.7) | 137.7 (-21.7) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NKU 67 – 62 MILW |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NKU 85 – 67 MILW |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MILW 92 – 70 NKU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MILW 79 – 59 NKU |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MILW 82 – 75 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-14 |
| Home | 12-4 | 6-10 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#266) | -9.5 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#290) | -2.74 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#301) | -3.15 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#304) | 0.370 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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