Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 119.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +22 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -8.9 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.5 (+13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -7.8 (+14.2) | 128.8 (+3.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -6.5 (+15.5) | 131.1 (+0.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -6.4 (+15.6) | 128.8 (+3.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -6.3 (+15.7) | 128.9 (+3.1) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UVU 79 – 72 TAR |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UVU 83 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 2, 2026 | UVU 91 – 85 TAR |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UVU 71 – 66 TAR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UVU 81 – 56 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#80) | 2.1 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#81) | -0.29 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#82) | 0.36 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#69) | 0.503 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 28.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 25.1% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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