Betting Lines
| Spread | AMER -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | AMER -135 LEH +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | AMER -4.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMER -4.0 (-6.0) | 137.8 (-13.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMER -3.0 (-5.0) | 141.2 (-17.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMER -3.5 (-5.5) | 140.3 (-16.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMER -4.0 (-6.0) | 140.2 (-16.2) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LEH 78 – 73 AMER |
| Feb 12, 2026 | LEH 90 – 82 AMER |
| Feb 8, 2025 | AMER 78 – 75 LEH |
| Jan 23, 2025 | AMER 68 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2024 | LEH 70 – 68 AMER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMER | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-16 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#337) | -11.8 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#272) | -4.04 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#274) | -5.51 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#306) | 0.326 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMER | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.