Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +9 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | VMI -0.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -0.2 (+9.2) | 154.9 (-11.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -0.8 (+8.2) | 153.2 (-10.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -0.6 (+8.4) | 152.7 (-9.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -0.6 (+8.4) | 153.7 (-10.7) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FUR 90 – 72 VMI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | FUR 69 – 48 VMI |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FUR 75 – 71 VMI |
| Jan 22, 2025 | VMI 91 – 82 FUR |
| Feb 15, 2024 | FUR 75 – 62 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#150) | 5.1 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#160) | 1.06 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#149) | 1.26 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#174) | 0.556 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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