Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +15 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -11.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -7.5 (+7.5) | 143.1 (+15.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -10.3 (+4.7) | 143.9 (+15.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -11.1 (+3.9) | 143.0 (+16.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -10.0 (+5.0) | 142.2 (+16.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | YSU 86 – 82 OAK |
| Jan 1, 2026 | OAK 85 – 83 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | YSU 84 – 75 OAK |
| Dec 7, 2024 | YSU 66 – 50 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2024 | OAK 70 – 67 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 12-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 13-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#82) | -0.8 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#48) | -0.66 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#49) | -0.88 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#32) | 0.445 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.7% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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