That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Mid-American Conference · University Arena (MI) · January 1, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread OHIO -14.0 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total WMU win
Actual OHIO +12 106 Lost
Massey OHIO -14.1 (+2.1) — —
Massey Totals — 142.0 (-36.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 6% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 2% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OHIO -13.1 (+1.1) 139.4 (-33.4) 14% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OHIO -12.6 (+0.6) 142.6 (-36.6) 14% ✓
Baseline ML OHIO -13.2 (+1.2) 142.2 (-36.2) 14% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OHIO -13.4 (+1.4) 141.3 (-35.3) 14% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2026 OHIO 91 – 71 WMU
Feb 26, 2025 WMU 82 – 73 OHIO
Feb 5, 2025 OHIO 94 – 69 WMU
Mar 14, 2024 OHIO 82 – 55 WMU
Jan 13, 2024 WMU 81 – 79 OHIO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WMU OHIO
Overall 8-23 25-10
Conference 4-16 14-6
Home 4-10 15-2
Away 2-13 8-6
Neutral 2-0 2-2
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.0 73.6
Avg Pts Against 76.2 67.9
Massey -13.7 (#344) 4.8 (#98)
Bradley-Terry -1.16 (#273) 2.29 (#36)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.75 (#280) 3.20 (#35)
RPI 0.459 (#251) 0.576 (#57)
Shooting & Four Factors WMU OHIO
FG% 40.9% 42.1%
3PT% 30.3% 34.2%
REB / G 34.3 33.1
OREB / G 11.1 10.6
AST / TO 0.65 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 49.3%
TOV% 23.0% 17.0%
ORB% 30.5% 29.1%
FT Rate 15.9% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.1% 50.1%
Opp TOV% 14.1% 22.8%
DRB% 66.3% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 21.2% 20.1%

Game Analysis

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