We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–8 on winners spread MAE 8.4 27 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
LSU @ Auburn +2.1 135.3 64% 55–70 ✓
Seton Hall @ Providence +1.1 136.5 54% 65–70 ✓
Missouri @ Kentucky +22.3 145.0 91% 56–83 ✓
Cornell @ Syracuse +8.1 162.7 82% 68–80 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Morehead State +19.1 130.7 91% 50–63 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Georgia +3.6 142.9 65% 77–60 ✗
Wagner @ Saint Francis -11.8 140.7 16% 72–64 ✓
Long Island University @ Sacred Heart +1.1 147.7 59% 65–69 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Merrimack +2.7 128.3 66% 64–74 ✓
Bryant @ Central Connecticut -1.9 144.8 47% 80–76 ✓
VMI @ Wofford +10.8 146.4 82% 80–73 ✗
Samford @ Furman +6.2 153.2 74% 49–81 ✓
Hofstra @ William & Mary -13.0 146.5 19% 62–63 ✗
Delaware @ UNC Wilmington -2.6 140.2 40% 68–70 ✗
Northeastern @ Elon -4.6 137.4 45% 62–79 ✗
Western Michigan @ Toledo +19.5 151.0 91% 56–83 ✓
Nevada @ Kansas +20.1 164.4 90% 61–88 ✓
Illinois State @ Wisconsin +15.3 149.5 87% 85–89 ✓
SMU @ Tulsa -2.4 146.6 37% 74–69 ✓
Memphis @ Tulane -6.1 150.3 36% 84–85 ✗
Western Illinois @ Iowa +15.9 162.2 87% 71–92 ✓
Wake Forest @ Louisville -0.3 145.0 50% 69–73 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Texas A&M +27.9 150.8 91% 59–85 ✓
Tennessee @ Alabama +0.9 150.8 62% 68–73 ✓
NC State @ Miami +7.1 151.2 78% 83–91 ✓
Maine @ Rutgers +20.3 132.5 91% 64–80 ✓
Louisiana @ App State +2.5 134.9 62% 71–55 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.