We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–15 on winners spread MAE 7.9 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tarleton State @ Michigan +15.6 132.2 87% 54–65 ✓
Xavier @ Iowa State -3.6 130.8 39% 70–82 ✗
Nevada @ Washington +1.5 150.2 63% 81–62 ✗
Southern Miss @ UNC Wilmington +11.5 128.9 81% 80–66 ✗
Hampton @ South Florida +6.8 129.5 76% 52–58 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Massachusetts +3.0 148.6 63% 81–92 ✓
Colgate @ Harvard +1.1 149.8 59% 84–89 ✓
Boston University @ Florida State +10.6 136.3 82% 80–81 ✓
Princeton @ Monmouth +6.0 150.5 76% 64–76 ✓
Arizona State @ Baylor +9.8 142.0 82% 63–75 ✓
UL Monroe @ Louisiana Tech +8.6 149.0 79% 74–96 ✓
Delaware @ Oakland +2.3 141.8 64% 73–81 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Toledo +2.5 142.0 65% 70–79 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Kent State -0.6 141.1 50% 57–51 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Northern Arizona +1.4 140.7 62% 73–56 ✗
Houston Christian @ Oklahoma +30.1 140.6 91% 40–57 ✓
Sam Houston @ SMU +8.2 141.9 79% 66–75 ✓
California Baptist @ Texas +19.3 141.2 87% 44–68 ✓
Florida @ Ohio State -2.3 142.7 40% 71–68 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Saint Louis +4.3 150.7 71% 68–79 ✓
Texas Southern @ BYU +16.1 134.2 87% 64–81 ✓
Florida A&M @ UTEP +12.0 132.8 86% 53–67 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Pittsburgh +0.1 131.7 45% 68–52 ✗
Jacksonville @ Minnesota +16.1 133.6 86% 44–55 ✓
Memphis @ Virginia Tech +2.1 141.3 52% 69–61 ✗
UC San Diego @ Montana -7.1 139.4 35% 61–71 ✗
George Mason @ South Dakota State +2.5 151.5 60% 76–80 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ UC Santa Barbara +24.1 144.9 90% 58–86 ✓
TCU @ Pepperdine -6.8 137.3 21% 73–64 ✓
Texas A&M @ Notre Dame -4.5 131.6 33% 73–67 ✓
Fresno State @ Santa Clara +8.2 147.8 76% 59–52 ✗
UConn @ Michigan State -1.1 150.7 45% 60–64 ✗
Dayton @ Miami +7.1 143.2 77% 76–60 ✗
South Alabama @ San Diego +0.1 131.5 52% 68–67 ✗
Presbyterian @ LSU New Orleans +3.2 137.5 66% 68–66 ✗
North Texas @ Kansas +7.7 136.6 75% 59–71 ✓
Auburn @ Loyola Chicago +2.3 155.1 65% 62–53 ✗
UIC @ Hawai'i -2.1 141.8 44% 80–88 ✗
VMI @ Central Arkansas -11.5 140.8 14% 73–67 ✓
Baylor @ VCU -8.5 124.6 19% 69–61 ✓
Alabama @ Iona -5.0 151.9 32% 68–72 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.