What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–9 on winners spread MAE 9.9 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Illinois @ Marquette -0.2 142.2 44% 66–67 ✗
St. Thomas @ Fordham -0.3 146.6 54% 78–84 ✗
The Citadel @ Presbyterian +0.4 137.6 54% 70–74 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ South Florida +2.7 127.3 71% 54–56 ✓
Weber State @ Duquesne — — — 63–59 —
Coppin State @ UNC Greensboro +13.7 139.4 87% 48–55 ✓
Radford @ Virginia Tech +33.2 135.8 91% 39–65 ✓
Bryant @ Clemson +14.1 138.1 85% 70–93 ✓
Liberty @ LSU — — — 58–74 —
Penn State @ Massachusetts +1.2 144.0 49% 56–81 ✓
Holy Cross @ Quinnipiac +7.5 145.4 74% 68–76 ✓
Manhattan @ Old Dominion +7.4 131.9 79% 58–79 ✓
Robert Morris @ Ohio +24.1 146.2 89% 71–85 ✓
Furman @ Belmont +14.8 151.2 83% 89–95 ✓
Lamar @ Georgia Tech +14.9 144.4 87% 66–75 ✓
Buffalo @ North Texas — — — 69–66 —
Prairie View A&M @ Texas Tech +18.8 153.6 88% 49–84 ✓
Southern Miss @ TCU +21.3 133.1 87% 51–83 ✓
Kansas City @ Missouri +9.5 138.4 81% 80–66 ✗
Northwestern State @ SMU +7.8 149.1 80% 48–95 ✓
Maine @ Colorado +13.6 146.8 84% 46–90 ✓
Navy @ Louisville +6.0 139.6 73% 60–77 ✓
Montana @ North Dakota +1.4 136.1 63% 77–79 ✓
Central Michigan @ Eastern Illinois +4.4 140.9 45% 62–61 ✗
East Texas A&M @ UTSA — — — 65–62 —
Alcorn State @ Gonzaga +18.0 146.2 86% 57–84 ✓
San Diego @ California -0.5 136.3 62% 70–75 ✗
Texas Southern @ Washington +2.4 136.2 73% 65–72 ✓
Grambling @ New Mexico +10.1 149.1 81% 61–86 ✓
Providence @ Wisconsin +9.9 138.1 71% 63–58 ✗
Oregon State @ Tulsa +4.5 131.1 69% 58–64 ✓
Samford @ San Francisco — — — 55–77 —
North Florida @ Arizona State +7.3 134.6 76% 63–72 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Utah +26.4 135.6 90% 55–86 ✓
Sacramento State @ Cal Poly +6.1 135.9 77% 58–57 ✗
Idaho @ Fresno State +19.8 147.6 86% 62–69 ✓
Utah Valley @ Pepperdine +4.7 140.6 71% 86–74 ✗
Southern Utah @ Saint Mary's +16.5 144.8 84% 51–70 ✓
North Dakota State @ UNLV +1.8 125.6 65% 62–64 ✓
Long Beach State @ UCLA +14.5 157.5 82% 79–100 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Washington State — — — 65–73 —
San José State @ Stanford +7.0 142.6 79% 62–76 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Oklahoma State +0.8 131.3 69% 58–80 ✓
USC @ Florida Gulf Coast -0.6 149.9 46% 78–61 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +1.4 130.5 53% 59–65 ✓
Miami @ Florida Atlantic +10.2 160.6 85% 68–66 ✗
Howard @ Villanova +11.6 149.9 79% 81–100 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.