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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–0 on winners
spread MAE 15.0
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota
@
Princeton
|
-0.5 | 133.9 | 46% | 87–80 | ✓ |
Idaho State
@
Seattle U
|
+5.4 | 135.0 | 76% | 51–77 | ✓ |
Texas State
@
Vanderbilt
|
+7.7 | 146.0 | 70% | 60–79 | ✓ |
Nicholls
@
Baylor
|
+12.7 | 138.9 | 79% | 60–89 | ✓ |
IU Indianapolis
@
Denver
|
— | — | — | 47–63 | — |
Bowling Green
@
Ohio State
|
+10.9 | 143.4 | 79% | 58–89 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.