And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–11 on winners spread MAE 12.6 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina Central @ Memphis +19.3 140.6 85% 51–90 ✓
USC @ Temple +7.8 136.8 70% 76–71 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Milwaukee — — — 77–71 —
Wagner @ VCU +5.9 133.4 62% 58–44 ✗
Montana @ Mississippi State — — — 49–86 —
Georgia @ Cincinnati +13.8 131.9 84% 68–73 ✓
Hofstra @ Duquesne +10.1 143.1 75% 73–63 ✗
NJIT @ Lehigh +14.1 144.9 78% 73–56 ✗
Delaware @ Siena +3.8 137.7 46% 83–63 ✗
Monmouth @ Towson +20.1 138.1 86% 79–71 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Toledo +19.0 135.1 88% 73–81 ✓
Ohio @ Cleveland State +3.1 144.6 69% 67–56 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Michigan +2.8 150.7 65% 49–77 ✓
Campbell @ Duke +20.1 136.1 89% 56–67 ✓
Lipscomb @ South Carolina State -6.2 146.2 31% 93–81 ✓
California @ UNLV +15.1 134.6 82% 52–55 ✓
Alabama State @ Missouri State -1.4 154.9 56% 60–78 ✗
Troy @ Butler — — — 59–70 —
Alcorn State @ Portland +3.4 140.1 61% 58–62 ✓
Bellarmine @ Murray State — — — 59–78 —
Davidson @ San Francisco +12.5 156.8 81% 60–65 ✓
UTEP @ New Mexico State — — — 71–77 —
Boise State @ UC Irvine +2.7 133.3 54% 50–58 ✓
Sacramento State @ Utah — — — 56–89 —
George Washington @ UC San Diego +17.7 143.9 85% 55–75 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ California Baptist — — — 66–95 —
Texas @ Gonzaga +8.5 145.0 71% 74–86 ✓
Pacific @ Hawai'i +3.3 142.1 64% 61–73 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lipscomb -0.1 144.1 44% 65–70 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Tennessee +16.6 145.2 83% 62–94 ✓
Yale @ Seton Hall +15.4 148.7 83% 44–80 ✓
Florida State @ Florida +5.9 148.8 62% 55–71 ✓
Binghamton @ Sacred Heart +8.3 147.8 65% 72–60 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Chattanooga +21.4 148.9 88% 45–75 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Bucknell +6.3 152.2 65% 73–68 ✗
South Dakota @ Drake — — — 50–99 —
Prairie View A&M @ Oklahoma State +16.9 140.7 87% 59–72 ✓
South Dakota State @ Stephen F. Austin — — — 83–71 —
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Texas A&M — — — 65–86 —
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Wyoming +22.1 146.8 89% 45–85 ✓
Western Carolina @ East Carolina +7.4 148.7 75% 79–95 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Brown +18.4 150.7 89% 57–75 ✓
Fairfield @ Boston College +16.8 141.6 85% 64–72 ✓
Canisius @ St. Bonaventure +20.1 136.5 88% 60–69 ✓
Western Kentucky @ South Carolina +1.9 137.7 60% 64–75 ✓
Drexel @ Syracuse — — — 60–75 —
Delaware State @ Rider — — — 53–63 —
Morgan State @ George Mason — — — 53–90 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.