Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | HAW +107 PAC -127 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -5.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -3.3 (+8.7) | 142.1 (-8.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -2.6 (+9.4) | 142.1 (-8.1) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2024 | HAW 76 – 66 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 3-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#279) | 1.1 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#310) | -0.56 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#311) | -0.55 (#220) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.4% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 82.9% | 80.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.0% | 10.2% |
Game Analysis
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