We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
76 66
FINAL Rainbow Classic
Pacific Tigers
Stan Sheriff Center · November 12, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread HAW -2.5 Home covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money HAW -165 / PAC +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total HAW win
Actual HAW +10 142 Won
Massey HAW -4.6 (+5.4)
Massey Totals 153.2 (-11.2)
Bradley-Terry 83%
Weighted B-T 89%
Baseline Plus ML HAW -7.4 (+2.6) 148.3 (-6.3) 67%
Baseline ML HAW -6.8 (+3.2) 146.3 (-4.3) 65%
Baseline Tuned ML HAW -5.6 (+4.4) 147.4 (-5.4) 64%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 14, 2021 HAW 7361 PAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HAW PAC
Overall 15-16 9-24
Conference 7-13 4-14
Home 13-7 5-10
Away 2-9 2-13
Neutral 0-0 1-1
Last 5 1-0 1-0
Streak L2 L5
Avg Pts For 69.3 68.0
Avg Pts Against 71.9 77.2
Massey -3.2 (#242) 3.3 (#114)
Bradley-Terry 0.09 (#167) 0.43 (#147)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.05 (#175) 0.48 (#152)
RPI 0.250 (#259) 0.250 (#259)
Shooting & Four Factors HAW PAC
FG% 54.5% 49.2%
3PT% 31.6% 25.0%
REB / G 29.0 42.0
OREB / G 6.0 10.0
AST / TO 1.83 1.17
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 60.0% 52.5%
TOV% 9.3% 16.8%
ORB% 22.2% 29.4%
FT Rate 25.5% 30.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.0% 37.9%
Opp TOV% 13.0% 9.5%
DRB% 74.2% 82.1%
Opp FT Rate 42.0% 32.3%

Game Analysis

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